There are several areas of issue for the Real Estate sector. One is in the run-up to a referendum, which may create a period of instability and stagnation in the property market, whilst people think about what may happen if there were to be a Brexit or what would happen if we stay in. Now that in itself can manifest opportunities for investors because they see the market stalling and that should mean that prices come off and therefore, it could present an opportunity. But I think the more likely concern is that if people believe a Brexit will really happen, that that may just create stagnation.

英国退欧会给房地产行业带来几个问题。一是在公投的预备阶段，房地产市场可能出现一段不稳定和停滞期，人们会考虑英国退出和留在欧盟分别会发生什么事情。这种情况本身可能给投资者带来一些机会，因为他们看到市场停滞，可能意味着价格下跌，这可能是一个机会。但是，我认为更可能发生的情况是，如果人们相信英国真的会退出欧洲，这只会带来市场停滞。Continue Reading “英国退欧”视频专访（字幕版）：房地产

作者：金杜律师事务所 King & Wood Mallesons

There’s been a lot of talk about pros and cons of Brexit, but very few hard facts. In fact, there are hardly any economic predictions about the potential pros and cons of Brexit and even when you look at some of the wider reports, they are talking about potential GDP impacts by 2030, ranging from somewhere between minus 0.8 per cent and plus 0.6 per cent — so pretty small differences in both directions.

对于英国退欧的利弊已有很多讨论，但可靠的事实极为少见。实际上，对于英国退欧的潜在利弊几乎没有任何经济预测，甚至浏览主题更加广泛的报告时，也会发现它们所讨论的到2030年对潜在GDP的影响在-0.8%到+0.6%之间，但无论是正还是负，差别都非常小。Continue Reading “英国退欧”视频专访（字幕版）：经济预测与谈判过程